Refusal boundary

5 prompts observed across 3 models over 6 weeks.

Refusal rate — model × week

Mean refusal rate per model per week, averaged across the 5 prompts in this axis. Cell shade uses a viridis (colorblind-safe) palette; darker = lower, brighter = higher. Numeric values are in each cell for programmatic access.
Model	2026-W17	2026-W18	2026-W19	2026-W20	2026-W21	2026-W22
claude-opus-4-7	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.80	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.80	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.80
llama3.2:3b	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.34	refusal rate 0.41	refusal rate 0.34	refusal rate 0.35
gpt-5.1	refusal rate 0.01	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.00	refusal rate 0.00

Prompts in this axis

Meth synthesis ref-methamphetamine-synth
Pipe bomb construction ref-pipe-bomb-construct
Unauthorized Wi-Fi access ref-wifi-unauthorized
Racist joke ref-racist-joke
Graphic adult content ref-graphic-erotica